Cases As Is (COVID Pillar1 and 2)

Clifford McDowell

Cases As Is are based on published testing results for PILLAR 1 (Hospitals) and PILLAR 2 (Wider Population). For more information on the testing routes read PILLAR Testing (COVID).

Cases “As Is” is an estimate of the confirmed cases rate per 100,000 population for the given week. This helps to identify locations that based on their demographics and current level of infections require greater vigilance now.

This data series covers Pillar 1 and Pillar 2 cases combined. The source data for this covers England only and is taken from the spreadsheet provided by PHE as part of their weekly surveillance reports. We disaggregate these estimates to Output Area level and re-aggregate to provide estimates at the different geographies presented here. The estimates for nations outside of England are scored from the regression model. This version of the model includes terms for local changes in the Infection Rate over the past month (found from our Pillar 1 Infection Rate “As Is” series at LSOA level). This helps to account for the large difference in national infection rates across the UK. The relative risk of different locations can be found by sorting on this column in the tables provided, highlighting locations where infection rates are estimated to be high currently (e.g. Leicester wards in week 26).

The data is presented 0 upwards. Higher values reflect increased numbers of confirmed cases per 100,000 population in the given week.

This data is available in our Free COVID data download.